Minneapolis to Bozeman

What the Data Says About MSP to BZN

The Minneapolis to Bozeman corridor (MSP → BZN) covers roughly 874 miles and is served by 3 carriers, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 4,661 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 84.9% on-time rate with an average delay of 66.5 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 1,614 flights were recorded on this pairing — 5 cancelled (0.3%) and 4 diverted (0.2%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 3 carriers on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 4,661 total flights analyzed, the 84.9% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 66.5-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Sep 2024 posted the best performance on this corridor at 100% on-time, while Dec 2025 came in at 56% on-time — a 44-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the MSP to BZN route, the combination of a 84.9% on-time rate, 66.5-minute average delay, 0.3% recent cancellation rate, and 3 available carriers is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.