Minneapolis to Minot

What the Data Says About MSP to MOT

The Minneapolis to Minot corridor (MSP → MOT) covers roughly 449 miles and is served by 4 carriers, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 8,245 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 87.4% on-time rate with an average delay of 82.9 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 2,578 flights were recorded on this pairing — 39 cancelled (1.5%) and 10 diverted (0.4%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 4 carriers on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 8,245 total flights analyzed, the 87.4% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 82.9-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Apr 2024 posted the best performance on this corridor at 96% on-time, while Dec 2025 came in at 56% on-time — a 40-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the MSP to MOT route, the combination of a 87.4% on-time rate, 82.9-minute average delay, 1.5% recent cancellation rate, and 4 available carriers is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.