Minneapolis to Dallas/Fort Worth

What the Data Says About MSP to DFW

The Minneapolis to Dallas/Fort Worth corridor (MSP → DFW) covers roughly 852 miles and is served by 21 carriers, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 18,781 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 81.3% on-time rate with an average delay of 82.6 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 6,480 flights were recorded on this pairing — 103 cancelled (1.6%) and 37 diverted (0.6%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 21 carriers on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 18,781 total flights analyzed, the 81.3% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 82.6-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Oct 2024 posted the best performance on this corridor at 90% on-time, while Jun 2024 came in at 65% on-time — a 24-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the MSP to DFW route, the combination of a 81.3% on-time rate, 82.6-minute average delay, 1.6% recent cancellation rate, and 21 available carriers is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.