Missoula to Minneapolis

What the Data Says About MSO to MSP

The Missoula to Minneapolis corridor (MSO → MSP) covers roughly 1,013 miles and is served by 4 carriers, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 2,543 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 86.5% on-time rate with an average delay of 106.8 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 945 flights were recorded on this pairing — 6 cancelled (0.6%) and 2 diverted (0.2%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 4 carriers on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 2,543 total flights analyzed, the 86.5% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 106.8-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Jun 2025 posted the best performance on this corridor at 94% on-time, while Jul 2024 came in at 81% on-time — a 13-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the MSO to MSP route, the combination of a 86.5% on-time rate, 106.8-minute average delay, 0.6% recent cancellation rate, and 4 available carriers is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.