Phoenix to Minneapolis

What the Data Says About PHX to MSP

The Phoenix to Minneapolis corridor (PHX → MSP) covers roughly 1,276 miles and is served by 25 carriers, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 19,270 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 85.8% on-time rate with an average delay of 73.4 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 6,662 flights were recorded on this pairing — 32 cancelled (0.5%) and 13 diverted (0.2%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 25 carriers on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 19,270 total flights analyzed, the 85.8% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 73.4-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Nov 2024 posted the best performance on this corridor at 92% on-time, while Jun 2024 came in at 70% on-time — a 22-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the PHX to MSP route, the combination of a 85.8% on-time rate, 73.4-minute average delay, 0.5% recent cancellation rate, and 25 available carriers is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.