Chicago to Toledo

What the Data Says About ORD to TOL

The Chicago to Toledo corridor (ORD → TOL) covers roughly 213 miles and is served by 2 carriers, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 889 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 87.5% on-time rate with an average delay of 48.6 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 889 flights were recorded on this pairing — 47 cancelled (5.3%) and 0 diverted (0.0%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 2 carriers on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 889 total flights analyzed, the 87.5% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 48.6-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Apr 2020 posted the best performance on this corridor at 98% on-time, while Feb 2020 came in at 75% on-time — a 23-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the ORD to TOL route, the combination of a 87.5% on-time rate, 48.6-minute average delay, 5.3% recent cancellation rate, and 2 available carriers is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.