PlainFlights

Route · MSP → MDW · 2020–2025 BTS data

Minneapolis to Chicago

According to PlainFlights' route traffic ranking (BTS On-Time Performance total flights), MSP to MDW (Minneapolis to Chicago) ranks #558 of 4927 tracked domestic routes by total flights (most flights = #1).

Data updated 2026-06-13

84.8%
On-time
+5.8 pts
vs US avg
64 min
Delay when late
16,184
Flights
#558 of 4927
Corpus placement

Cancelled

1.1%

Best Month

Oct 2024 94%

Worst Month

Dec 2025 63%

Distance

349 mi

Carriers

12

Monthly Performance

Recent 24 months of route data.

Period Flights Delayed Cancelled Diverted Carriers
Dec 2025 215 80 2 0 WN,OO
Nov 2025 214 25 16 1 OO,WN
Oct 2025 246 25 0 0 OO,WN
Sep 2025 232 40 1 0 WN,OO
Aug 2025 238 56 2 0 OO,WN
Jul 2025 249 60 3 3 OO,WN
Jun 2025 243 44 0 0 OO,WN
May 2025 238 30 2 0 OO,WN
Apr 2025 229 23 1 0 OO,WN
Mar 2025 228 36 1 1 OO,WN
Feb 2025 190 30 2 0 OO,WN
Jan 2025 212 34 1 0 OO,WN
Dec 2024 229 48 2 0 OO,WN
Nov 2024 218 26 2 1 OO,WN
Oct 2024 237 14 0 0 OO,WN
Sep 2024 247 24 0 0 WN,OO
Aug 2024 256 42 0 1 WN,OO
Jul 2024 260 69 1 1 OO,WN
Jun 2024 251 91 1 0 OO,WN
May 2024 248 58 0 1 OO,WN
Apr 2024 241 28 0 0 OO,WN
Mar 2024 243 33 2 0 OO,WN
Feb 2024 198 24 0 0 OO,WN
Jan 2024 227 36 21 1 WN,OO

MSP–MDW seasonal on-time pattern

Best: October (90.0%) · weakest: June (77.9%)

75%80%85%90%95% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec 81.2%

Strongest calendar month

October

90.0% on-time · ~231 flights/mo

Busiest calendar month

July

~249 flights/mo avg

Weakest calendar month

June

77.9% on-time · ~237 flights/mo

Cancellation Rate

1.1%

60 of 5,589 flights

Diversion Rate

0.2%

10 of 5,589 flights

Origin-hub reliability standing

Mid-pack among MSP departures

From MSP, this corridor sits with 57 other 75–85% on-time routes out of 99 tracked departures, not the hub's reliability leaders (42 at ≥85%) and not the softest ( 0 below 75%). Destination: Chicago · fleet on-time rank #1303 of 4927.

What the Data Says About MSP to MDW

Bureau of Transportation Statistics records show Minneapolis to Chicago (MSP to MDW) running a 84.8% on-time rate over 16,184 tracked flights, on the stronger end of a typical domestic pairing. When flights do run late, the average delay is 63.7 minutes. The 349-mile corridor is served by 12 carriers, and over the last 24 months 1.1% of 5,589 flights were cancelled, 0.2% diverted.

The monthly split is wide on this route: Oct 2024 posted the strongest performance at 94% on-time, while Dec 2025 came in at just 63% - a 31-point swing worth factoring into travel timing.

On the multi-year calendar, MSP–MDW peaks in October at 90.0% on-time while July carries the heaviest traffic (~249 flights per month) ; the softest month is June at 77.9%, a 12.1-point swing that repeats because the corridor's weather and holiday mix stays stable year to year.

Frequently Asked Questions

Where does MSP to MDW rank among US routes by traffic?
According to PlainFlights' route traffic ranking, MSP to MDW ranks #558 of 4927 tracked domestic routes by total flights (most flights = #1). That ordinal matches our busiest-routes listing (total_flights DESC). See /methodology#corpus-placement for the exact sort basis.
How often are flights delayed from MSP to MDW?
Flights from Minneapolis to Chicago have a 84.8% on-time rate based on 16,184 flights. The average delay is 63.7 minutes. The best recent month was Oct 2024 with 94% on-time.
What is the cancellation rate for MSP to MDW?
Over the last 24 months, 1.1% of flights on this route were cancelled (60 of 5,589 flights) and 0.2% were diverted.
How far is the flight from MSP to MDW?
The flight distance from Minneapolis (MSP) to Chicago (MDW) is approximately 349 miles. This route is served by 12 carriers.
When is the best time to fly from MSP to MDW?
The best recent month for on-time performance was Oct 2024 (94% on-time). The worst was Dec 2025 (63% on-time). Consider booking during months with historically better performance.

Airports on this route

Data source

Data Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS), On-Time Performance Data. Statistics reflect cumulative performance across all available reporting periods.

Using MSP–MDW data

MSP–MDW runs 5.8 pts above the national 79% average; the remaining risk is month-to-month swing and carrier mix, not a weak headline rate.

  • Compare MSP and MDW airport profiles: delay causes and top routes differ even on the same corridor. MSP airport
  • If your dates flex, October (90.0% on-time) beats June (77.9%) on this corridor. Seasonal chart
  • 4 other routes post a similar 84.8% on-time rate; compare before you commit to this pairing. Similar routes

On-time rate reflects the BTS historical average across all reporting carriers on this origin–destination pair, not any single flight or booking recommendation.

Data sourced from U.S. Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) On-Time Performance data. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainFlights

Every figure on PlainFlights is rendered directly from BTS On-Time Performance data, no number is typed in by an editor. This page aggregates this specific route's on-time performance and monthly trend, live from the dataset. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or report a data error.