Minneapolis to Sioux Falls

What the Data Says About MSP to FSD

The Minneapolis to Sioux Falls corridor (MSP → FSD) covers roughly 196 miles and is served by 11 carriers, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 9,046 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 85.7% on-time rate with an average delay of 75.4 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 2,515 flights were recorded on this pairing — 23 cancelled (0.9%) and 3 diverted (0.1%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 11 carriers on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 9,046 total flights analyzed, the 85.7% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 75.4-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Oct 2025 posted the best performance on this corridor at 95% on-time, while Dec 2025 came in at 49% on-time — a 45-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the MSP to FSD route, the combination of a 85.7% on-time rate, 75.4-minute average delay, 0.9% recent cancellation rate, and 11 available carriers is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.