Chicago to Louisville

What the Data Says About MDW to SDF

The Chicago to Louisville corridor (MDW → SDF) covers roughly 271 miles and is served by 1 carrier, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 5,803 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 79.3% on-time rate with an average delay of 57.8 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 2,058 flights were recorded on this pairing — 20 cancelled (1.0%) and 0 diverted (0.0%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 1 carrier on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 5,803 total flights analyzed, the 79.3% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 57.8-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Feb 2024 posted the best performance on this corridor at 94% on-time, while Jul 2025 came in at 63% on-time — a 30-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the MDW to SDF route, the combination of a 79.3% on-time rate, 57.8-minute average delay, 1.0% recent cancellation rate, and 1 available carrier is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.