Orlando to Nashville

What the Data Says About MCO to BNA

The Orlando to Nashville corridor (MCO → BNA) covers roughly 616 miles and is served by 12 carriers, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 16,554 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 77.9% on-time rate with an average delay of 64.4 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 6,196 flights were recorded on this pairing — 84 cancelled (1.4%) and 13 diverted (0.2%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 12 carriers on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 16,554 total flights analyzed, the 77.9% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 64.4-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Nov 2024 posted the best performance on this corridor at 91% on-time, while May 2024 came in at 67% on-time — a 24-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the MCO to BNA route, the combination of a 77.9% on-time rate, 64.4-minute average delay, 1.4% recent cancellation rate, and 12 available carriers is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.