Bakersfield to San Francisco

What the Data Says About BFL to SFO

The Bakersfield to San Francisco corridor (BFL → SFO) covers roughly 238 miles and is served by 1 carrier, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 2,253 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 81.4% on-time rate with an average delay of 81.0 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 1,260 flights were recorded on this pairing — 7 cancelled (0.6%) and 3 diverted (0.2%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 1 carrier on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 2,253 total flights analyzed, the 81.4% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 81.0-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Aug 2025 posted the best performance on this corridor at 93% on-time, while Dec 2025 came in at 68% on-time — a 25-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the BFL to SFO route, the combination of a 81.4% on-time rate, 81.0-minute average delay, 0.6% recent cancellation rate, and 1 available carrier is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.