Minneapolis to Moline

What the Data Says About MSP to MLI

The Minneapolis to Moline corridor (MSP → MLI) covers roughly 274 miles and is served by 3 carriers, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 885 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 84.6% on-time rate with an average delay of 73.8 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 885 flights were recorded on this pairing — 11 cancelled (1.2%) and 1 diverted (0.1%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 3 carriers on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 885 total flights analyzed, the 84.6% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 73.8-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Nov 2021 posted the best performance on this corridor at 95% on-time, while Jan 2022 came in at 71% on-time — a 23-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the MSP to MLI route, the combination of a 84.6% on-time rate, 73.8-minute average delay, 1.2% recent cancellation rate, and 3 available carriers is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.