Medford to San Francisco

What the Data Says About MFR to SFO

The Medford to San Francisco corridor (MFR → SFO) covers roughly 329 miles and is served by 3 carriers, based on Bureau of Transportation Statistics reporting. Across 5,577 flights in the dataset, this route posts a 83.8% on-time rate with an average delay of 93.7 minutes when flights run late. Over the most recent 24 months of BTS data, 1,880 flights were recorded on this pairing — 21 cancelled (1.1%) and 1 diverted (0.1%). Those baseline metrics tell you what to expect before you book.

Having 3 carriers on the route matters: more carriers generally means more daily schedule options, competitive pricing, and redundancy when flights are cancelled. With 5,577 total flights analyzed, the 83.8% on-time figure is statistically meaningful rather than a small-sample fluke. The 93.7-minute average delay applies only to flights that actually ran late, so it is not the average wait across all departures — the majority of flights on this route depart on time under the BTS definition of a delay (15+ minutes past schedule).

Looking at recent months, Sep 2024 posted the best performance on this corridor at 89% on-time, while Feb 2024 came in at 52% on-time — a 37-point gap between best and worst recent month. For travelers evaluating the MFR to SFO route, the combination of a 83.8% on-time rate, 93.7-minute average delay, 1.1% recent cancellation rate, and 3 available carriers is the concrete summary of what BTS data shows about reliability on this pairing.